Rethinking Kenya’s Economic Growth and Development Trajectory

By Sitati Wasilwa

The harsh reality is that most of the problems Kenya faces today are not different from the challenges witnessed at the dawn of independence. This is a reaffirmation of the need to relook, rethink, restructure and even reposition the various policies and institutions established to promote economic growth and development.

Methinks we’ve failed to inculcate a political leadership that prioritizes broad-based economic growth and development. Kenya political is in dire need of political leadership if we are to draw parallels between Kenya and some Asian economic powerhouses. For instance, 50 years ago, Kenya’s per capita income wa $440 while Singapore’s stood at $180. Today, our per capita income is $1800 compared to Singapore’s $59800.

The poor leadership exhibited by our politicians is characterized by too much politicking. Kenyan politicians worry so much about consolidating political power at the expense of promoting a better economy that works for the many.

Kenya’s economic growth and development trajectory has been paralyzed by corruption. The failure to combat corruption is an indication of the failure of the country’s political leadership to have an economy that fairly works for all. As long as corruption is not tackled, we shall forever oscillate at the same point and attaining our economic goals will remain a mirage.

Furthermore, 51 years after gaining independence, our exports are majorly primary goods. Over 50 years of independence is a long period of time to export value-added commodities. How did China, South Korea, Japan, Thailand etc start exporting manufactured goods? These countries offer insightful lessons for Kenya to pick up and invent its own unique model that will enable exportation of value-added commodities.

A key element of progressive economic growth and development is food security. The perennial hunger and famine strikes need to be permanently addressed. Drought, hunger and famine incidences drain significant amounts of capital which would otherwise be utilized to facilitate growth in other sectors.

The various development plans need to be thoroughly scrutinized. Vision 2030, for instance, is highly ambitious but will not be fully implemented due to weak political leadership. Development planning is good subject to political goodwill. Additionally, the national and county governments development blueprints should not trigger high taxation, and the presence of so many white elephant projects.

In conclusion, Kenya’s growth and development trajectory is marred with insanity as things are done the same way with high expectations to get different results. Kenya needs a visionary political leadership to ensure that the growth and development of the economy promotes inclusivity.

June 10, 2014 0

Kenya’s Scorecard In Attaining Millennium Development Goals

By Sitati Wasilwa

The MDGs are to be attained by the year 2015 as outlined in the Millennium Declaration launched in 2000 at the United Nations General Assembly in New York. Kenya as a country participated in drafting of the Declaration and committed herself to achieve the highlighted objectives. As a country, we have made significant steps in attaining the MDGs. However, due to various externalities coupled with poor governance, the attainment of some MDGs still remains a mirage.

On the first MDG, eradication of extreme poverty and hunger, past governments and the government of the day have done little to attain this goal. Year in year out, the ASAL regions are affected by widespread hunger which has often led to starvation and death. The perennial hunger problem is arguably used as bait by politicians to gain political mileage at the expense of poor Kenyans. Irrigation initiative programmes if not backed by effective political goodwill will hardly be implemented. However,the recent launch of the One Million Acre Scheme initiated by Uhuru Kenyatta’s administration is a good move towards solving the problem of hunger only if corruption will not boggle it down. On poverty,we are not doing well either. Recent World Bank statistics point out that 45.9% of Kenyans are living below the poverty line. This is contrary to the 25% which is to attained by 2015 according to the MDGs. This clearly indicates that the gap between the rich and the poor is still very wide. Score: 3/10.

As a country, we have done well in terms of achieving universal primary education which is the second MDG. I give much credit to former President Mwai Kibaki whose brain child,the Free Primary Education(FPE) programme has really been the major driving force towards achieving this goal. However, various bottlenecks under this goal include insufficient human capital (teachers), and shortage of basic facilities and equipment such as books, good classrooms etc. The successive governments should thus ensure the enlisted challenges among others are properly addressed. Score: 7.5/10.

The third MDG seeks to promote gender equality and empower women. Kenya has performed averagely in terms of reducing gender disparity at primary, secondary and tertiary levels of education. More so, the ratio of literate females to males has significantly improved. This is effectively backed by the Constitution Chapter 4, Article 27 and Clause 3 on the a third gender rule. There has also been a marked increase in the number of seats held by women in Parliament at the national and county levels. This has been aided by the Constitution which allowed the for provision of 47 positions of Women Representatives. A descent number of women has been elected and nominated to Parliament. However, we are still yet to see an elected woman Senator and Governor. Score: 6.5/10.

The other MDG is the reduction of child mortality rate (CMR). This is an area we are doing badly. In East Africa, we are only better than Burundi whose CMR is at 104/1000 compared to Kenya’s 73/1000 according to UNICEF’s September 2013 report. Uganda’s CMR is at 69/1000,Rwanda 55/1000 and Tanzania 54/1000. However, this is a reduction from 115/1000in 2003 according to the Kenya Demographic and Health Survey. This high CMR implies that deaths of children under 5 years are due to diseases such as pneumonia,malaria and diarrhea especially in the marginalised areas and regions. The Ministry of Health,to be specific,has a lot to do to lower this rate. Score: 3.5/10.

MDG 5 is concerned with the improvement in maternal health. Kenya’s Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) by 2003 (KDHS), was at 414/100000. The year 2010, our MMR was at 488 deaths/100000 live births. However, the initiative by the Jubilee administration to offer free maternal healthcare is a positive move that demographic experts have already noted will significantly reduce the MMR. Rural folks, however, still find it quite challenging to access better maternal care because of poor roads to access the health centres. This calls for improvement in the state of the rural access roads and also the establishment of health centres in each ward countrywide. This is attainable since the health is a devolved function as per the Fourth Schedule on the Distribution of Functions between The National and County Governments.

April 5, 2014 0

The Impeachment Foolhardy: MCAs vs Governors

By Sitati Wasilwa

Promulgation of the Constitution in August 27^th 2010 signified a new era of hope especially with regards to devolution.

Initially, drafting of the current Constitution clearly set the academic threshold for one to be a Member of County Assembly. Unfortunately, the academic qualifications were expunged setting up ground for unintelligent political engagements pitting the MCAs and the Governors.

As a matter of fact, this is now proving to be futile if the wave of initiating and executing impeachments is anything to go by. MCAs in Embu, Kericho, Baringo and Elgeyo Marakwet counties have made serious attempts to impeach Governors.

Fundamentally, MCAs are without doubt infatuated with power. Giving too much power to uneducated and functionally literate politicians is a faux pas in realizing socio-economic development. On various occasions, majority of the MCAs have indicated their little understanding of the Standing Orders. The level of education largely determines the quality of assembly debates and policymaking.

More importantly, we should not forget about Governors and county executives who misuse funds. Well, corruption has been a juggernaut in Kenya since independence and devolution has created opportunities for individuals to hastily accumulate wealth.

If a county government department has been hit by corruption , the executive member in charge should be held responsible. This is because impeaching a Governor would have a severe implication on nearly every aspect and functioning of county governments. Imagine if the MPs could be executing impeachments against the President, one after another?

My point of view is that the MCAs should blow the whistle, gather the evidence, inform the necessary authorities and let the courts of law do their work. In addition, MCAs should prioritise their debates and have constructive engagements to benefit the citizenry and MUST abandon the politics of witch-hunting.

March 5, 2014 0